[shaniac]

[ QUOTE ]
wow the 5 to 1 that he will finish higher is a mind-blowingly stupid bet.

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't know if I would go that far, but it's definitely a good bet at 5-1 (If I had the roll, I'm pretty sure I would risk 25K against 5 that one of those guys will finish higher than ZJ).

The thing is, ZJ should be able to beat 5 semi-random Guys Who Had A Good Year in poker (or at least beat them all more than 20% of the time), but Grinder, JC and Nam are consistent performers, and Nam and JC play a lot of semi-obscure (but very +EV) tournaments, plus they are machines. Even if you dismiss Shannon and Jeff as one-year wonders (which I also doubt), I think ZJ is a way longer-shot than 5-1 to beat all of those guys.

I don't really know what I'm talking about but, again, if I could afford it, I would take Apathy's action.