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Old 11-28-2007, 08:46 PM
bilbo-san bilbo-san is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: In ur game, pickin off ur bluffz
Posts: 4,103
Default Re: Interesting Reg vs Reg Stars 200nl hand

You're not that deep, and getting pushed on doesn't really suck the way you describe.

His range for getting it in is 99-JJ, JT, T9, J9, 87, KQ:

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

87,120 games 0.001 secs 87,120,000 games/sec

Board: Jc Td 9s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 53.850% 52.59% 01.26% 45816 1098.00 { JJ }
Hand 1: 46.150% 44.89% 01.26% 39108 1098.00 { JJ-99, KQs, J9s+, T9s, 87s, KQo }

"BUT WAIT!", you say. HE READS SOULS! He won't even get in with 2pair:

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

77,220 games 0.002 secs 38,610,000 games/sec

Board: Jc Td 9s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 48.546% 47.43% 01.12% 36622 865.50 { JJ }
Hand 1: 51.454% 50.33% 01.12% 38867 865.50 { JJ-99, KQs, 87s, KQo }


...you're still barely behind.

Personally, he's more likely to fold 87 than T9 or JT, imho, which actually improves your equity. But I doubt he folds 2 pair often.
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