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Old 07-25-2007, 12:35 AM
disjunction disjunction is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 3,352
Default Re: i forgot rule #1

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I don't remember for sure but I'm pretty sure I did the math like 4 years ago and to play a hand like this for set value alone it's not profitable unless you get the dreamiest of boards and setups.

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To expand on that, putting in 2 more bets with a pocket pair, for set value, was very marginal-barely +EV in normal-aggro game conditions...so 3 bets cold is going to be -EV.

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Putting in 3 SB with 13SB already in the pot. I think a set is 7.5 to 1 IIRC so you'll need to get 8 more SB in. Maybe this will happen, but I think the main worry, actually, is with all that raising, overpairs are seeing all 5 cards and who knows if your set will even hold.
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