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Old 10-28-2007, 05:03 AM
iggymcfly iggymcfly is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 3,784
Default Re: *** OFFICIAL 10/28/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD ***

Just wanted to post my teaser here:
Buffalo +9
San Francisco +9
Washington +23
(Risk 1.89u to win 3.41u)

I was trying to do as close to a Wong as possible, but Bodog won't let you tease the Cle/StL or the Ten/Oak game. Since their 3-teamers pay significantly better than their 2-teamers and the teaser already had some extra value from SF getting +3 when market value was +2 and Washington was getting a point better than market value as well, I decided to throw the Skins in there.

I think that the Redskins would be a good value play just betting them ATS and since it's so hard for an NFL team to win by more than three scores, I think there's actually some decent value in moving it across the 20 and 21. There isn't enough of a sample size to test it accurately since so few NFL teams are ever favored by more than 15.5, but I think with the spread this high, there's some value there.
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