Re: Why is Deal or No Deal not the Monte Hall problem?
[ QUOTE ]
Consider that you had cards numbered 21 to 80, and someone was trying to guess your age ...
I don't know if I've guessed your age correctly -- but you are willing to keep exposing to me an age that you are not, hoping to convince me to change my selection ...
I know you are telling the truth. How long should I play? Why?
[/ QUOTE ]
Interesting way of putting it, but I'm not sure that can be used to clear it up.
Of course, you want to play down to two unexposed choices.
|