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Old 11-07-2007, 06:56 PM
Performify Performify is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Sports Betting forum
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Default Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (IND @ SD) ***

Yes.

Winning team's margin of victory in the NFL is exactly 3 points 14.51% of the time.

Moving a half-point on to the three is worth a lot more than 5c.

-3 -125 is a vastly superior line to -3.5 -120.

the move from -3.5 to -3 is worth about 25c on the open market. So if you thought -3 -125 was the fair line, you should get -3.5 +100 or so.
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