[bknollenberg]

[ QUOTE ]
If Button is very tight he's range is probably something like 99+, AJs+, AQo+.

Ari probably doesn't know button is very tight because he's only been at the table to orbits to his re-shoving range should be alil wider then normal here because he knows your capable of raising light in postion and he's probably assuming button is shoving somewhat wide here as well. SO I'd say his range is 99+, AQs+, AQo+.

BB should really only be calling here with QQ+, AKs, AKo.

So given those ranges you have about 28% equity.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

113,272,806,416 games 242.188 secs 467,706,106 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 27.677% 26.51% 01.17% 30025438869 1325598883.00 { QQ }
Hand 1: 19.184% 17.19% 02.00% 19466381592 2263569853.83 { 99+, AJs+, AQo+ }
Hand 2: 19.542% 17.35% 02.19% 19651727271 2484551914.83 { 99+, AQs+, AQo+ }
Hand 3: 33.596% 29.93% 03.66% 33906894399 4148643633.33 { QQ+, AKs, AKo }


I didn't do the math but if you're getting the right price you should probbaly call this, but if it's close which I'm guessing it is, then bubble considerations come into play which probably will turn this into a fold. Imo this is a fold.

[/ QUOTE ]
i agree. i've found may times that when i'm in a situation like this one, i'm up against two AK's and some other garb. however, you've sort of described the issue in your post; if you're most concerned with breaking the bubble, then you're looking at a hand where two potentially can go out and you're, what, 2? away from the money. however, if cashing in last place doesn't make you happier than not cashing, push them chippies in there.