[Dunkman]

I like a lot of your analysis sherman, but I think K9 would take this line (on the turn at least.) Also, if you c/c the turn, which seems reasonable, you're pretty much forced to c/c the river too. So, if we can find a fold on the river taking your original line, I'm not so sure it's inferior. If we're paying off a set on the river even after bet/calling the turn then I agree that a c/c on the turn is the way to go. However, I don't think anyone can successfully argue that we could c/c the turn then c/f the river here, villain's range would just be too wide.