Re: Absolute badbeat jackpot odds
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Thanks. You may not be math person but you did the right thing. I just checked the JP tables too and you have a point. [ Do you have an easier way to count the JP tables other than raw counting?]. Something is amiss. I got the badbeat probability from the wizardofodds site which is usually reliable. After checking their approach more carefully, I think that they assummed all qualifying starting hands go to showdown. This is unlikely in real play. Players throw away some potential straight flush cards and some pairs preflop thus lowering the probabilty of hitting the BBJ than the wizardofodds site would suggest. Back to the drawing board. The figures in my original may be much too optimistic. This also throws into question the bonuswhores calculation of minimum profitable JP size since we don't know how it was calculated. [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]
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Maybe its also not taking into account you have to use BOTH holecards?
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