Thread: A rag or 98o?
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Old 11-29-2007, 11:02 AM
Bone_Daddy Bone_Daddy is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 17
Default Re: A rag or 98o?

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Come up with relevant calculations which support your side, or give up.

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Here are a couple of points.
First of all, too many nits play tight and get blinded away waiting for big pairs, until their M is less than 5 and they jam the first ace-x they see. So, its better equity to be more aggressive with ATC and jam and prey no one calls. That being said, why wait for ace – x to jam, as the % increase is de minimus.
Let’s take the two jamming ranges, and compare them to 2 calling ranges.
A2-a7 vs. pairs 5s or better, and ANY combo of face cards (loose). This is a likely calling range for a larger (not massive) stack.
A7o-A2o vs. 55+, ATs+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo 40.693%
98s, 87s, 76s, 98o, 87o, 76o is 33.863%

So ace rag is 7% better.

But let’s look at a more reasonable calling range, assume stacks are more even. Drop all face cards other than pairs 55+ and Ace – 10. Without more info, can’t assume jt-kq is standard calling ranges late in a tournament.
98s, 87s, 76s, 98o, 87o, 76o drops to 31.999%
BUT A2 – A7 drop to 27.967%, a 14% fall off

We are splitting hairs and can run a million scenarios, but your sanctimonious opinion that ace rag is a much better doesn’t pass muster.
My point in case, don’t be scared and wait to jam a dominated hand, where there is fold equity out there with ATC that are not as dominated, and from a percentage standpoint, a push.
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