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Old 05-15-2007, 06:30 PM
HP HP is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: DZ-015
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Default Re: Hey, an actual NLHE game theory question/simulation.

Alright, you are lucky I am bored

I checked the EV of the SB pushing AQs:

If called by AA/KK, we have an equity of 31.846% if I've done it right

but according to my counting, we only get called 1 out of 5 times

so if we say the EV of folding is -0.5, the EV of pushing is:

0.8 + 0.2*(20*.31846 - 10)

which equals

0.0738

So unless I've made a mistake, pushing AQs from the SB is +EV if the BB is only calling AA/KK
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