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equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 58.096% 38.81% 19.28% 55825068 27736416.00 { QQ+, AKs, AKo }
Hand 1: 41.904% 22.62% 19.28% 32535636 27736416.00 { AKs }

Villain probably isn't pushing worse than QQ+,AKs,AKo here.

It's close, but you need 42.68% (86/201.5) equity to call vs. that range, and you don't have it, so fold.

Actually you'd need 43.325% (86/198.5) assuming $3 rake. So it's still (barely) a fold vs. JJ+,AKs,AKo too.


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It's reasonable to discount AA and, to some extent KK, because many people are less likely to push them rather than 4-betting smaller or flat-calling and trapping. Unless they are leveling.

And he's gonna have something stupid every now and then.

It's pretty close, really, and just a matter of making some sort of reasonable read and going with it.