Re: meh river
c/f is bad imo. He don't bluff often but he don't vb often too. We don't have many informations but he looks agressive. We can give him a fair range imo with Ax x>5, 33+ (maybe he raises 22 and 33 maybe not so I just count 33) and KQ, KJ, QJ (maybe he plays some TX but he would have raise). So on the river he's betting 66 55 44 33 (88 raises very often on the turn). He's betting maybe A9 and AK but he would have give quite often some action with these hands on the flop or the turn, so I just count A9. So he's betting the river with 30 hands. He can bluff with KQ KJ QJ 40 hands, so if he bluffs just 10 % of the time with these hands, it is an easy call. I don't know, but I would say the real prob is little more than 10%.
Felicitations Nina for moving up.
|