[Daliman]

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Then you've got a huge overlay on the NFC side?

I'm not suggesting this is risk free. But assuming that one bought both of those bets at the best available price right now, it seems to me that it might be +EV.

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Uh, no, you'd have the exact opposite.

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How would it be the opposite. If the Pats lose in the AFC playoffs, then the NFC +15.5 will be, what, at least a touchdown higher than the actual line?

FWIW, the total is 55.

Also, there's a "no" on win the superbowl at +160 for those who think it's good value.

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Man, you just don't get it...