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Old 11-30-2007, 06:05 PM
Nick C Nick C is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 10,145
Default Re: Would you consider laying this down?

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Assuming all parties get the money in here,against AQ AND 2pr/lower set the equity for KK here is like 25-26%. But that's quite the parlay to convince yourself to fold.

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I don't think it's out of the question at all. But we have very close to the odds even in that worst-case scenario, and sometimes UTG's monster (and he most likely has a very strong hand or possibly a huge draw, I think) is going to be JJ or TT and the third player won't have the straight either.

I guess you can count me among the "some level of hesitation" crowd, though, because although I think Hero should call, I think this is a far less profitable situation for a flopped set (especially in a loose live game, where sets will tend to get paid off well on far less scary boards than this one) than most flopped-set situations.
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