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Old 09-21-2007, 09:32 AM
AsydRayne AsydRayne is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 305
Default Re: Big Laydown? Standart Laydown? Bad Laydown?

looks like JJ - KK from UTG and 55/77/JJ/spades from MP. With a generous distribution of spade draws we have at most 20% equity:
Hand 0: 20.581% 20.04% 00.54% 34922 946.50 { AhAs }
Hand 1: 17.728% 17.18% 00.54% 29949 946.50 { JJ+ }
Hand 2: 61.691% 61.69% 00.00% 107515 0.00 { JJ, 77, 55, KsQs, Ts9s, 9s8s, 6s5s }

We aren't getting 20% pot even if the other player calls as well. We get close if we get the rest of the other player's stack, but I think if we shove here we're only getting called by JJ.

Weird to fold AA in a reraised pot, but it is correct here.
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