Re: NL$200| Does pushing have a +ev expectation here?
Ok I did a quick stove exercise. I'm going to assume Ray as dead in this hand. All the hands he'd ever call with are in the range I've given to Villain 2 so they are accounted for anyway. If they both call then it only improves my situation.
With this range I'm assuming Villain 2 has fairly liberal calling tendencies. (JJ and 1010 for example) The range is as follows:
99+,33-22,5c4c,32s,32o
When I push it's for $191 and if called the final pot will yeild 41.5% equity for me. Against that range my hand equity is 42.2% thus I believe it's around a break even play even with no fold equity considered and I think it's reasonable to conclude I will get two folds here some of the time.
I think I've answered my own question - this is a no-brainer push.
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