Re: *** Official August - October Chatter Thread ***
The problem with pleasing from +3 to -3 is that you're still moving off of a 3 and onto a 3. The push frequencies for 0, 1, and 2 are really low but the frequency for 3 is so high that it counteracts it. I guess your best bet here would be to please across whichever 6 point inclusive range has the lowest total push frequency. If you had a really huge line, like 24 or greater, that would be ideal, but the chances of two such lines occurring in the same week are obviously extremely low. It looks like the best 6 point inclusive range for realistic lines is [7.5,13.5]. The only bad number you're crossing is 10 (4.9% push), and all the other numbers are 2.2% or less. I'd have to do the math to figure out whether such a pleaser would be +EV, but it seems possible.
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