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Old 11-10-2007, 02:30 PM
Nielsio Nielsio is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2005
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Default Re: High Stakes Poker thread (11/5 - 500k buyin - Spoilers expected)

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Youre missing that fact that Doyle knew he could find a better spot to pick off Gold. Why go with the 3rd nuts there when youre reading someone as very strong and he'll probably hand you all his money later? Very nice laydown by Doyle, esp. against someone like Gold.

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This is a cash game, not a tournament. You don't surpass +EV spots except in very specific circumstances, this doesn't qualify. How does Doyle know he is going to get in a better spot against Jamie? This is live poker, meaning not many hands per hour, and there are 8 other people playing, all just as likely to get Jamie's money. If the third nuts isn't good enough then you're putting Jamie presicely on the second or complete nuts, meaning that in the future you're going to wait until you get the nuts vs Jamie's second nuts? That's extremely unlikely to happen. How often have we even seen big nuts vs second nuts hands overall during HSP? Now what are the odds that happens with two specific players?

Besides, if Doyle loses he can rebuy to cover Jamie who will have a stack of an excess of > $1 million. If Doyle wins, Jamie may or may not rebuy, but it doesn't really matter at that point, he stacked Jamie which is what he wanted to do all along.

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Yeah, I would imagine Doyle easily able to rebuy.

Perhaps he didn't have the funds available at the time? Who knows..
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