[ClarkNasty]

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Yeah, that's true. He is going to get a ton of playing time on a terrible team.

Let's revise it up to 19.5

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I liked your original line more. Someone's got to score, but everyone knows it'll have to be him. I'd take the under on this.

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Easily over 16.5. He gets to the line too much for it to be any lower.

FWIW, Pinnacle posted a line of like 19.5 for Carmelo his rookie year. Durant comes into the league as a more prolific scorer on a more destitute team. He'll get about 20, though his %'s are likely to totally suck.