Re: how bad is this?
miles,
It is a pretty clear 3-bet against top and 2nd set. Max raises are going in no matter what we do so we might as well try and hide our hand by 3-betting. The current EV is going to be the same no matter what we do but our implied odds will be much better if we gas it now. The problem is when he has an overpair and will just call the turn raise but most people that lead into a flop capper are doing so with the intention of 3-banging it. The other problem with 3-betting is that we could have made a straight and it might slow them down. But if both of them have sets, I'd still be confident that the river would go 3 or 4 bets. If the turn was a total brick I'd probably go for it and hope that we get 8 BB on the river when we hit.
After coldcalling twice and calling two more twice it seems doubtful that we will get anymore then 2 BB on the end.
Benny,
Was the river a [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]? I'm guessing that you have to lead at it the way the hand went down.
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