Re: 100/200 SH AA hand with nut low draw, delaying the raise until tur
If you weight his distribution highly toward A4 type hands, 3 betting the flop doesnt make a lot of sense. I would argue that by just calling the flop, you make more money against most players both when the low gets there, and also when it doesnt.
This situation comes up a lot and I think its pretty important. Getting them to bluff that last bet with 0 equity when the low doesn't get there is a lot more important than picking up 3/4 equity on a small bet but letting him fold the river.
When the low gets there, you are almost always gonna make more money by calling the flop and raising later, unless the guy is a maniac and plans on capping the flop with hands that you have crushed. IMO against sane players, if he caps the flop, your equity against his range isn't super anymore.
Edit: as played, raising a high turn is bad. Call the turn, bet if checked to and raise if you make you low otherwise call.
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