[Post-Oak]

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Ohio State vs. West Virginia -3 (spread/running QB and team built on speed getting a 3 pt. matchup edge vs. team that had trouble with those and is perceived as slow)
Missouri -1.5 vs. West Virginia
Missouri -1 vs. Ohio State
Oklahoma -6 vs. Ohio State


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According to my earlier assumptions, here's the probability of each matchup. Of course, these could be wrong as Kansas, Georgia, LSU or Oklahoma could all be possible Ohio State opponents.

WVU vs Ohio St 57.1%
WVU vs Missou 39.3%
Missou vs Ohio St 1.5%
LSU vs Ohio St 1.5%
Oklahoma vs Ohio St 0.6%

Here's my lines, with the % for each team to win the game. Since the game is in New Orleans, and I have given a HFA to LSU.

WVU -3 vs Ohio St 58.5%/41.5%
WVU -1 vs Missou 51.3%/48.7%
Missou -2.5 vs Ohio St 56%/44%
LSU -3 vs Ohio St 58%/42%
Oklahoma -2.5 vs Ohio St 56%/44%

Using these estimates, here are my fair lines for winning the national title.

WVU -115
Missouri +400
Ohio St +296
LSU +11394
Oklahoma +29662

I'm sure many people will disagree with my projected BCS title game lines. I think it would help this thread if several people contributed lines, so that we could get a better idea of what to expect. I am gonna guess that most people think I am underestimating the Oklahoma versus Ohio State line.