Re: Calculating LSU\'s Odds to win National Title
Oops, that was stupid. When I was looking at the 4 matchups, I just assumed the one with Oklahoma in was least likely when it actually wasn't. Even with an adjustment for a 15% chance that Georgia or USC gets in over them, anything at +5800 or higher should be +EV on the Sooners.
No point really recalibrating everything until the WVU/Pitt line comes out though now as it should be up in an hour or two. Oklahoma's favored by 3.5 FWIW.
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