Re: $120 Bubble AK- FoxWoods SNG- BB sitting out
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To those saying push, please show me what i'm not considering:
If you fold you will have 24.93% EQ
If you call/win you will have 36.1% EQ
So you have to win this push 69%+ to be better than folding if you have no FE.
AKo is only 65% vs Random so are we getting enough of that call/win EQ to make this +EV?
(I know this is different from my original analysis of the hand, beer, but I think the stacks were slightly different and my brain fluctuates day-to-day)
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Your math sounds right to me. And AK only wins enough against weaker aces. I think it is a fold now. At the time, I thought I would see a lot of weaker aces but that isn't a reasonable assumption.
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