Re: AJ hand
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I'll be the first to say check/fold turn. SB has you beat here a good amount of the time and is now irrationally fearing AK on the turn. Obviously once he check/folds the river we have new information but you guys are all cheating if you don't ignore that. I don't love the turn bet.
-DeathDonkey
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Did you read his description of the SB, he has just King, everytime.
Check-fold? So if the button bets and the SB calls, you are going to fold middle pair-best kicker, w/a gutter draw getting 7.5:1 closing the action?
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Gutter and trips are your only strong outs and as DD points out, those may even be questionable. The pot is big enough for it to be close but if Justin checkfolded the turn I wouldn't go "omgwtf," I'd just have to count and think for a while.
As is it's probably how I'd play it live, but certainly feels close enough that I should probably take another look and figure out if I should be betfolding the turn or checking.
Rob
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