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Old 11-27-2007, 01:39 PM
Shrooma Shrooma is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 53
Default Re: $5+0.50 Resteal from BB - too risky?

Let's say Small blind will call your push with 20% of his hands (which is 33+, A4+, A2s+, KQ+, KJs+, KTs+). I did some ICM calculations in SNGWizard.

The graph shows that SB should be raising over 50% of his hands (calling only 20%) to make your resteal +ev.



If you think SB is raising that light you might have a good resteal. However, I think SB is calling much wider than 20% which is not good for you. For example, when calling 30% SB should raise over 60% of his hands.

I think you should fold this. The only situation this might be +ev is if you've seen SB raising a lot and are pretty sure he's calling very tight.
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