[kyro]

1u on Ravens +3 (-110)

Had to wait until it moved to the 3. The public is on the road favorite, so I'm going to take the home underdog. Plus, DVOA has the Ravens as a favorite here, surprisingly enough.

Seems to be a trend this year. A team will either be underrated or overrated the entire year, and then there's that one week where people go "wow, this team is actually better/worse than I thought" and completely overcompensate the other way.

I think this is happening with Cleveland and Baltimore at the same time. Cleveland was better than people gave them credit for, and Baltimore worse. After last week, people are beginning to see this but are overreacting. I don't see Cleveland as being 6 pts better than Baltimore. Cleveland's a decent team, but they're not great, and Baltimore's a bad team, but their D is good enough to keep them in some games.

Cleveland keeps it surprisingly close. Browns 17-15