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Old 04-26-2007, 01:24 PM
Poker monkey Poker monkey is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Valuetown
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Default Re: 200/400 hand vs. sbrubgy 6 handed

[ QUOTE ]
this is a very tricky spot as aba should know once you call the turn that you have minimum of a king.
Problem is that he knows that you can't have a set since most of the time your going to bet a set on this board.
Honestly his overbet looks like he is trying to push you off a king, he could have any 2. I think this is a great spot for him to over bet bluff. Especially since he knows your a good thinking player.

so i like a call.

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What % of the time is he bluffing here though? Has to be over 40% of the time to make the call profitable. Suspecting he might be bluffing and thinking this would be a good situation to do so isn't enough, he has to be doing it nearly half the time... and I think most of the time the overbet means big strength.

I'd also question whether this is actually a good bluffing spot, since bluffing is best when you think your opponent is weak, and here Brian knows whitelime has some sort of a hand and there's a good chance whitelime will call his ass.
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