View Single Post
  #9  
Old 11-27-2007, 11:27 AM
Beerocrat Beerocrat is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Stpwned on the moon.
Posts: 185
Default Re: $120 Bubble AK- FoxWoods SNG- BB sitting out

[ QUOTE ]
To those saying push, please show me what i'm not considering:

If you fold you will have 24.93% EQ
If you call/win you will have 36.1% EQ

So you have to win this push 69%+ to be better than folding if you have no FE.

AKo is only 65% vs Random so are we getting enough of that call/win EQ to make this +EV?

(I know this is different from my original analysis of the hand, beer, but I think the stacks were slightly different and my brain fluctuates day-to-day)

[/ QUOTE ]

Your math sounds right to me. And AK only wins enough against weaker aces. I think it is a fold now. At the time, I thought I would see a lot of weaker aces but that isn't a reasonable assumption.
Reply With Quote