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Old 09-27-2007, 05:19 PM
holdem2000 holdem2000 is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 309
Default Re: What is the most -EV hand in no limit hold\'em?

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500k database

86s -0.18ptbb/hand
Q9s -0.18
97s -0.17
93s -0.16
42s -0.15

all the worst hands are suited, looks like i overplay my flushdraws in unraised pots

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While a lot of people are saying suited hands are the most negative EV in their database, I'm guessing that this is primarily because the suited hands have a smaller sample size (about a third as many suited hands as offsuit hands) so the variance in the overall winrates is higher. This poster is probably about -.10 BB/100 with many hands in the long run, with each of those hands' current winrates fluctuating around that average. The suited hands have larger fluctuations due to the smaller sample size.
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