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Old 11-19-2007, 09:59 PM
jay_shark jay_shark is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 2,277
Default Re: NLTRN - $20 reg - Preflop decision (sorry)

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Don't fold .

There are 6 pairs of j's, q's,k's and a's out of 1225 possible combinations of hands .

This is 6*4/1225 ~ 1.9% . This means that if his range only consisted of these cards , then he's raising about 1 hand out of every 50 hands . Since he's raised a few hands out of 50 , must mean that his range may be ~ the top 6 or 8 % of hands .

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lol, simply raising is different than 3betting allin. I would think about it for a while and probably not be able to bring myself to fold even though a fold might be correct here. Also we're almost a deadeven flip against the top 8.1% of hands.

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Yes we're dead even against the top 8 % but that doesn't mean that a call is bad . There is dead money in the pot and you don't need to be a favorite to make a profitable call .
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