[Todd Terry]

There are a few chapters in The Mathematics of Poker that deal with these types of issues, but do not directly answer your specific question. I think that they provide enough insight from which to conclude that your question is probably impossible to answer, due to the variety of buy-ins and payout structures. Additionally, even if we played in the same tournament over and over again, the assumptions about the likelihood of various outcomes for a given player that would be required in the model would be so speculative as to render the end product meaningless IMO.