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Old 11-17-2007, 08:04 PM
p-brane p-brane is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Henderson
Posts: 19
Default Re: 25NL QQ Flop Decision

[ QUOTE ]
Board: 8d Th 3d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 35.299% 33.45% 01.85% 8609 477.00 { QhQs }
Hand 1: 64.701% 62.85% 01.85% 16177 477.00 { TT+, AdKd, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd }


Call.

Anyone have suggestions for villain's range?

[/ QUOTE ]

My first post of this kind so please tell me if I'm wrong, but here's my thinking. If you add 88 and 33 to that range his equity drops from 35% to 30.679%.

And based on experience, I would weight a set a little more than a flush draw on this shove which actually pushes the equity back up a little.

Now I count there's about $59 in the pot and hero's call is $19. So the pot is offering him 3:1. So his point of indifference would be 25% equity yet he has somewhere between 30% and 35% equity depending on whether or not you weight sets.

Definite call.

Also, bet more on the flop and then its an even easier call, plus villain becomes slightly more likely to fold.
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