Re: Is there any way i am head of his range here, can you justify a ca
[ QUOTE ]
villain ~17% (8/46) to hit on river from turn
he calls $30 on the turn, so the total he has to win to break even is $30/$X=0.17 -> X = 30/0.17 -> X = 176
if we call he wins the amount we bet on the turn and call on the river plus what was in the pot from before = 30+40+75 = 145
so, that's a losing play for him if we call every single time
[/ QUOTE ]
Chance he hits: 38:8 = 4.75:1
Pot odds: (30+40+75):30 = 4.8:1
Pot odds > Card odds -> Profitable call
This is not accounting for us having 2 cards of his non outs meaning his card odds is more like 4.5:1 and the call is even more +ev.
|