Re: raising with draws - how much FE needed?
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If you have 15 clean outs on the flop and your opponent has no redraws, then you have approximately 54% chance of having the best hand at showdown
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FYP.
Run AhAs v 5c6c on a 7c8c2d board on pokerstove (56.3%). Or, do the math [1- (30/45*29/44)] = 56.1%
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FYP [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] You are assuming that you know your opponents cards. So if you don't know the opponents cards, but somehow know that you have 15 outs, then your probability of winning is
1-(32/47)*(31/46) = 0.541165.... or approx 54%.
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Yes, but when you assume "clean outs v foe with no redraws," you should use 45 and 44 unseen cards.
Also, see Barry Greenstein's Ace on the River at p. 299 for why 45-44 unseen cards should be used instead of 47-46 even when your foe's cards are hidden.
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