Re: A tough variance problem (at least for me)
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So the problem you want to solve is that how likely is it to make a x$ deviation from your long term average during y hands, given winrate and deviation?
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That sounds about right.
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Not sure if sd really scales linearly like that.
Not at all sure if that is correct...
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Can anybody verify this? I think I remember seeing a post dealing specifically with the odds of being a certain number of std. devs from the mean, so I'll try to dig that up again.
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