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Old 10-30-2007, 04:53 PM
rufus rufus is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 425
Default Re: Why don\'t coaches understand fundamental math?

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Ok, I still don't think the logarithmic measure is good at all. It would make sense if being undefeated for the season were all that mattered. Do you really want to say dropping from a 0.01% chance to win to a 0.001% chance to win (and this type of error may be common) is more serious than dropping from 80% to 20%?

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Yeah. OTOH you must admit that the difference between 70 and 80 percent is less of an issue than the difference between 10 and 0. There's probably some sort of happy medium.

Considering real-time analysis is feasible, it might be interesting to provide the commentators with ZEUS - even if it's just for 4th down, conversion, and free kick situations.
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