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Old 11-13-2007, 12:27 AM
Devilboy666 Devilboy666 is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2007
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Default Re: High Stakes Poker thread (11/12 - 500k Buyin - Part 2 Spoilers aho

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lol....this is gonna get real dumb real quick. in my 17 years as a pro ive never played deep stack nl. why dont you enlighten me on how he was callling 15 to win an assured 350 and then, after he hit his underwear filling cream dream, he still lost the pot? maybe you need to recheck your maths you badasss deep stack nl pro you...

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Are you saying that Patrick should have folded?

Here's how I see it:

Let's say Patrick has enough of a read on Jamie to put him on KK-JJ.

With QQ or JJ he has 4 outs or about 11 to 1 to make the nuts on the turn, which will hold up 77% of the time. To break even he needs to get $200k more in the pot which is certainly possible considering how Jamie plays. Maybe slightly harder with JJ because Jamie has more hands to worry about that beats him.

If Jamie has KK he only has 2 outs to make the nuts on the turn meaning he can't even break even by stacking Jamie (if Jamie only had $350k left) but he also wins with an A here. If Patrick thinks he's good enough to play his top pair profitably against Jamie then this is not that bad of a play.

I think with these possibilities calling the 1/2 pot size bet on the flop is reasonable even without considering the chances of making the nuts on the river. Adding AA to Jamie's range complicates things a bit but Patrick still might be able to make a profit here.

Disclaimer: I'm not a pro by any means so feel free to rip my logic to pieces.
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