Re: TPTK on the flop, c/c or c/r?
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Just count combos yo!
You need 67% eq to raise since you are gonna call a 3-bet. Assuming he will call with JJ:
You have about 90% eq against 6 combos of JJ and 12 AK
You have about 20% eq against 6 KK
You have about 0% against 1 QQ
You have about 10% against 3 AA
(18*0.9 + 6*0.2 + 3*0.1)/28 ~ 63%
call down
If you can add KQ to his range you can prolly raise.
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How did you arrive at 67%?
On the other hand, do I need 67% for any value raise?
BTW, I've checked all his HH and found he r/ced his AQo, so I assume his 4b range UTG is: AQ+,99+
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