[dennison]

I don't like it. I can't see Croatia causing an upset at Wembley but a draw suits them both just dandy.

England are missing a large number of key players, have had a hugely emotional few weeks, an uninspiring manager and a frustrated public. They are disorganised at the best of times, and with such vast personnel changes likely to be even more so. Additionally, the Croats are certainly no mugs. At 1-1 England don't go for the kill, they set up shop and play on the counterattack, at least under McClaren.

This wouldn't be the first time in football history that when a draw suits both, a draw ensues. Take England pk if you need the action, but -185 on a 3-way is terrible. The gamble hungry English public are backing their own side, especially after the money they probably won at the RWC.