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Of all the dumb assumptions he could make about you just because you are an American, to assume you did not vote against G.W. Bush can hardly be the worst. He was actually likely to be right.

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He was probably less than 50/50 to be right, given that poker players are going to be more liberal in general and therefore more likely to have voted against Bush. Of course there are worse stereotypes he could have made, but that's a pretty dumb one.

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If the assumption is that most Americans did not vote against Bush then he is in fact more then 75% likely to be correct. However if someone were to assume that most Americans did vote for Bush they would have a greater then 75% chance of being wrong. This is of course because about 50% of Americans don't vote, although in my experience most non-voters are more anti-Bush then pro-Bush.