[bilbo-san]

I think you can actually fold here if you have a read.

But "18/12, seems like a nit" isn't a read.

People need to learn to take notes. How hard can it be?

CO could be the type who always slowplays sets. Or the type who thinks that MP is usually FoS here and is trying to protect his QQ vs. your perceived draw. Or all kinds of things. 18/12/nitty just doesn't say a whole lot about how he plays sets, draws, or overpairs, which are the 3 relevant issues.


Since you are opting to play readless, get it in. If you want to start folding bottom set for 100 BBs, start taking better notes.

If he never plays overpairs like this, it's barely a call (if I did my math right, you are calling $183 to win $495, which is pot odds for which you'd need 37%; the fact that there is a side pot is irrelevant because against this range there aren't really many scenarios where you'd win the side but lose the main, or vice versa).

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

1,831,284 games 0.050 secs 36,625,680 games/sec

Board: Th 7c 4c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 39.163% 39.16% 00.00% 717177 0.00 { 44 }
Hand 1: 13.386% 13.36% 00.02% 244680 450.00 { TT+, 77, 44, ATs, ATo }
Hand 2: 47.452% 47.43% 00.02% 868527 450.00 { TT, 77, 44, AcKc, AcQc, AcJc, AcTc, KcQc, QcJc, QcTc, JcTc, Tc9c, Tc8c, 9c8c, 8c6c, 6c5c }


So, knowing how he plays overpairs would be a REALLY useful read, don't ya think?