Re: Odds on all players in National Heads-Up Championship
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So if someone with a 48% chance winning is considered an "upset", then yes, ther were a lot of upsets. Blame the structure---I have heard some describe it as "good" or "reasonable", but I don't think it even comes close to these terms. A good structure for this event might be 50% more starting chips, double the length of each level, and start by playing best 4 of 7 in round one (followed by 5 of 9, 6 of 11, etc.).
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Please remember it's an annual event, so the tournament can't run longer than one year.
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Also, this is more made for T.V. than actually poker playing. should make elite 8 best 2 out of 3, and finals best 3 out of 5.
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I completely understand. I am just saying that comments I see such as "the structure is good" seem unreasonable to me. I never said the event should be played with a "good structure", I just pointed out what would be needed to make the results somewhat meaningful.
Lets just acknowledge that most matches are simply 50/50 or 51/49 or 52/48 with this structure.
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