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Old 09-21-2007, 10:55 PM
RustyBrooks RustyBrooks is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Austin, TX
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Default Re: (razz) In which the hero gets raped by Seb86

by 6th I've seen 2 aces, 3 twos, 2 threes and 2 fours. For villain to have paired 6th he has to have the case 2. His range is A2 A3 A4 23 24 and 34. There are 4 combos of each of A3 A4 and 34 but only 2 combos each of A2 23 and 24, so 12 times he's unpaired and 6 times he's not, only a 1/3 chance he's paired here.

If he has a 75 I win 25% of the time - 2/3*1/4 = 16.5 equity
If he has an 87 I win 85% of the time - 1/3 * 1/6 = 28% equity
Overall equity = 45%

Certainly good enough to call 6th, but not enough to raise, I don't think. Even if he paired his 2 he has odds to call my raise so all I do is get re-raised when I'm behind.
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