Re: 1/2 live hand - curious about a read/tell
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First, an open-raise to $15 from MP by a player who hasn't played a lot of hands is a strong indication of a big hand. A typical opening raise from the average player is closer to $10 or $12. In my experience, the higher the initial raise from the player opening the pot from an early position, the stronger the hand. Here -- where we are not talking about a LAG player -- the raise almost certainly means JJ+, AK, or AQ.
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Good post. I'll add that its fairly common for some weak-tight players to make particularly big opening raises with TT, JJ, QQ, and sometimes AK because they're scared to play them on the flop. They'd rather win $5 then have to decide what to do when an overcard hits (and they'll sadly tell you that an A always hits). These are fun people to keep an eye out for.
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