Re: [25NL] Multidraw vs TP
I would check behind the turn usually because I wouldn't want to get checkraised off a nice draw (plus we have a decent showdownable hand). But it seems villian has no concept of odds, so he is making it fairly cheap for you to draw.
With stacksizes, though, I'd hate to call and then fold a blank river (assuming he shoves river theres 40 dollars in the pot and we have 10 behind).
The double checkraise looks very suspicious. If he has a set, why check the turn especially after he has revealed through his flop cr that he has a strong hand? Do you think this passive player is doing it with maybe 99 or 1010?
Against a range of 77-TT,22,78o,78s your equity is 53% so I'd shove turn or call turn and make a crying call on river. I don't think I'm folding this, especially now that we bet turn. Being passive like you say, I'm not putting him on a draw.
Board: 2d 7h 8d Js
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 53.914% 53.54% 00.38% 636 4.50 { JdTd }
Hand 1: 46.086% 45.71% 00.38% 543 4.50 { TT-77, 22, 87s, 87o }
Even if you add JJ and QQ to his range your equity doesn't change much.
P.S. I'd like to 3bet/shove flop too, but I feel I get called all the time with passive players who can never fold an overpair so with no fold equity I'm electing to just call the flop.
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