Re: Oliver Perez? Are you joking?
Honestly, I don't think betting this game is particularly +EV. Oliver Perez is as likely to get lit up as he is to shut down the Cardinals completely. He was a top 5 pitcher in the NL as recently as two years ago, whereas Trachsel and Oliver haven't been the top 5 of anything ever.
Because the variance on Perez is so high, I think that if you bet a side, you may as well take the run line because the game won't be close either way.
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