Re: Good result-orienting.
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The situations you are talking about are exceptions. I am talking about generalities. That may help in the decision making for beginners, when there are really a lot of things to take into account. It assumes that they know about pot odds and etc.
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Your 50% rule is the exception, not the generality. I don't think there are many hands where 50% is the right number.
But you have something right in your post. It is better to look at how much equity you have against your opponent on the street on which you went allin, than to look at if you won or not. But 50% is not the magic number.
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