Re: NLTRN $11: facing donkbet on A-high flop with KK
Thank you all very much for the responses so far.
I agree that raising flop is bad for the aforementioned reasons. Also, I think villain is capable of bluff raising a min-raise here.
I think if I call flop I also should call on the turn. I'm still pretty convinced villain bets any ace and bluff on the turn, but he will probably check the river. If he has a ten or four he will check turn and river, allowing a value bet. I originally didn't think villain had a ten/four, so that's why I stated in the OP that he second barrels almost always.
However, some of you think he might have a ten. This means if villain has a ten/bluff often enough, I should call flop and turn and otherwise fold flop, right? What do you guys think is his distribution of aces/tens/bluffs?
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